Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000819 0.000934 0.001055 0.001192 0.001343 0.001503 0.001686
2024-12-29 0.000627 0.000784 0.000961 0.001175 0.001425 0.001705 0.002042
2025-01-05 0.000532 0.000708 0.000916 0.001179 0.001496 0.001866 0.002323
2025-01-12 0.000452 0.000637 0.000867 0.001165 0.001540 0.001987 0.002557
2025-01-19 0.000387 0.000576 0.000818 0.001145 0.001567 0.002084 0.002757
2025-01-26 0.000351 0.000548 0.000809 0.001171 0.001649 0.002247 0.003040
2025-02-02 0.000320 0.000522 0.000798 0.001191 0.001721 0.002397 0.003309
2025-02-09 0.000280 0.000480 0.000761 0.001172 0.001740 0.002477 0.003488
2025-02-16 0.000245 0.000439 0.000722 0.001147 0.001746 0.002539 0.003643
2025-02-23 0.000224 0.000419 0.000712 0.001160 0.001804 0.002670 0.003889
2025-03-02 0.000205 0.000400 0.000700 0.001169 0.001855 0.002790 0.004124
2025-03-09 0.000179 0.000365 0.000662 0.001138 0.001847 0.002828 0.004247
2025-03-16 0.000155 0.000332 0.000624 0.001104 0.001834 0.002861 0.004365
2025-03-23 0.000139 0.000313 0.000607 0.001101 0.001866 0.002955 0.004570
2025-03-30 0.000126 0.000297 0.000593 0.001101 0.001900 0.003055 0.004783
2025-04-06 0.000113 0.000277 0.000572 0.001089 0.001916 0.003126 0.004957
2025-04-13 0.000099 0.000257 0.000548 0.001070 0.001919 0.003178 0.005103
2025-04-20 0.000094 0.000252 0.000550 0.001094 0.001991 0.003332 0.005398
2025-04-27 0.000088 0.000245 0.000550 0.001113 0.002054 0.003474 0.005678
2025-05-04 0.000078 0.000228 0.000528 0.001095 0.002057 0.003525 0.005828
2025-05-11 0.000068 0.000211 0.000504 0.001072 0.002048 0.003559 0.005950
2025-05-18 0.000063 0.000204 0.000501 0.001084 0.002100 0.003685 0.006211
2025-05-25 0.000059 0.000197 0.000496 0.001093 0.002145 0.003801 0.006459